Monday, January 21, 2013

Early 2013 Super Bowl XLVII (47) Prop Bets, From the 49ers and Ravens to the Silly and Crazy


Just to get things started every year, we like to post a relatively generic list of what you can expect from this year's Super Bowl prop bets. Since we're heavy on Google traffic and get visits from folks that otherwise would have no business on our site, we annoy the hell out of everyone by continually posting something similar to the following on every prop bet related musing:

Leading up to the 2013 Super Bowl XLVII (47) between the San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens, we'll take a look at Super Bowl proposition betting and all the fun, silly prop bets that surround Super Bowl 47 (XLVII). That includes proposition wagers on the Super Bowl coin toss, Super Bowl halftime show (Beyonce), Super Bowl National Anthem (Alicia Keys), Super Bowl Gatorade shower dump and much more. Follow along on the Super Bowl sidebar to the right and follow us on twitter for prop betting updates @stocklemonblog!

Now that everyone is on the same page and knows what we're trying to accomplish here, let's get to it. This is our sixth (sixth!) Super Bowl prop betting extravaganza here at Stock Lemon Blog, and we're determined to make it better than the last. Now that we know our matchup, here's what we can expect out of this year's Super Bowl prop betting scene in the two weeks before the Ravens and 49ers finally take the field. 

First, here are some of the fun ones that we'll get to in the coming days:
  • How long will the National Anthem last? This will be an over/under, usually somewhere between 1:30-2:00. This year, the Star Spangled Banner will be performed by Alicia Keys, which could be interesting because to our knowledge, she has never publicly sang the Anthem before (aka, the Youtube libraries don't have it). As you can see by some of our previous Super Bowl National Anthem length breakdowns on Kelly Clarkson, Christina Aguilera and Carrie Underwood, we rely heavily on that evidence, so we might have to figure something else out this year.
  • How many times the announcers will say ____? Jim Nantz and Phil Simms, the CBS broadcasting crew, hold the keys to this car. This year, the most obvious options will pertain to the HarBowl storyline. How many times will they say the word brother? But other buzzwords include retirement (Ray Lewis), Alex Smith (benched for Colin Kaepernick) or Art Modell (original Ravens owner who passed away).
  • How many times will cameras show ____? This could again be a famous person or player not involved in the game but in attendance. So, Jack Harbaugh and the Harbaugh family. They might also include the commish Roger Goodell or Tom Benson or any other Saints in attendance in their home stadium.
  • Will this be the most watched Super Bowl ever? We tend to feel that the answer is almost always yes, and this year is no exception. San Francisco is a huge market, as is the Baltimore/DC base. Couple that with some juicy storylines and, simply, the NFL's growing popularity, and we would lean toward yes on this.
  • What color will the liquid poured on the winning coach be (Gatorade Shower)? One of our favorites, this will be a multiple choice question asking which color Gatorade will be dumped on the winning coach. We get pretty in-depth with this one and look forward to breaking it all down again this year. Pick a Gatorade color (or the clear/liquid water option) and wait for it to pour down on either John or Jim Harbaugh. Either way, a Harbaugh is getting wet.
  • Who will the game MVP thank first? It could be teammates, a higher power, God, parents, fans, etc. Always think quarterback first here, as the majority of MVPs tend to lean that way. God was a common answer (and still is), but we like to side with most players thanking their teammates first. Sometimes, the player won't thank anyone, in which case the bets are graded as no action and the money is returned.
  • What songs will the halftime entertainer sing and what will they wear? Beyonce has the mike, which means we'll have to start researching Beyonce songs. The joys of blogging about the Super Bowl! As for Beyonce's halftime outfit, we're hoping for a repeat of the infamous Wardrobe Malfunction.
  • Will the coin toss be heads or tails? Remarkably, the NFC had won 14 straight coin tosses before the loser Giants ruined everything last year. Even more remarkable: Through 46 Super Bowls, we've seen 23 heads and 23 tails. Sure, it's a 50-50 proposition, but it doesn't always work out that way. If you know how much a quarter is worth, you are officially qualified to guess on this prop. Always a fun one.
  • Which Super Bowl commercial will have the highest rating according to the USA Today's annual ad meter? Doritos, GoDaddy, Pepsi, Budweiser--basically whichever commercial tries to hard to be funny or uses animals will win this prop because America is stupid. Beer makers, soft drink producers, and some of the other major Super Bowl advertisers will be options. Who will make the most of their 4 million dollar advertising investment? 
  • Which game will be higher scoring, the Super Bowl or _____? Variations of this will exist, asking whether the Super Bowl score will be higher than a college basketball game on Super Sunday, or if a quarterback will have more completions than a basketball player has points, etc. This game could be compared to the original HarBowl on Thanksgiving of last year, for example.
Aside from the fun props, here's a general list of what to expect:

First, there are your regular lines. The 49ers opened as the 5-point favorites over the Ravens, and the over/under is set at 50 points. If you don't want to bet on the whole game, break it up into parts and bet the spreads on a quarter-by-quarter basis, updated as the game goes on. The basic bets look like this:

  • Spread
  • Moneyline
  • First half line
  • First quarter line
  • Second quarter line
  • Third quarter line
  • Fourth quarter line (not including overtime)
  • Over/Under
Then you get a little more specific:
  • Total points scored by the home team (49ers)
  • Total points scored by the visiting team (Ravens)
  • First team to score
  • Last team to score
  • First player to score
  • What will the first scoring play be? (FG, Run, Pass, Safety, Defense)
  • Will the last team to score win the game?
  • Will there be a score in the last two minutes of the first half?
  • Will either team score three unanswered times?
  • Will there be a score in the first six and a half minutes of the game?
  • Which team will have the longest touchdown?
  • Will there be a successful two-point conversion?
  • Will there be a safety?
  • Which half will have the highest point score?
  • Which quarter will have the highest point score?
  • Will the home team ever have the lead?
  • Which team will commit the first turnover?
  • Which team will use the coaches' challenge first?
  • Which team will be the first to call a timeout?
  • Will there be overtime?
  • Which team will get the first penalty?
Then, as we inch closer to the game, we'll have plenty of player props:
  • Who will have more yards between a Ravens RB/WR (such as Ray Rice) and 49ers RB/WR (such as Frank Gore)?
  • Who will have more tackles/sacks between a Ravens defender (such as Ray Lewis) or 49ers defender (such as Patrick Willis)?
  • How many yards will a team's star player (such as Colin Kaepernick) have? Answers will be in increments. For example: Between 200-240; Between 240-280, etc.)
  • Will Player X Score in this game? For players like Anquan Boldin or Vernon Davis, who have been red-hot throughout the playoffs.
That's it for our prop betting primer. Much, much more in-depth prop betting coverage to come, but just wanted to give you a quick reference if you found us on Google and don't know anything about Super Bowl prop betting.