Sunday, December 2, 2012

Four Free NFL Pick Dogs Today (61% YTD)

Our Free NFL Picks are 11-2 (85%) in the last four weeks 28-18-1 overall this season, staying hot since stumbling out of the gate. We've had success by doing things like, for example, not betting on the Eagles (1-9-1 against the spread), but there's a time for everything, we suppose.

Eagles +10 1/2 over the Cowboys

Vikings +9 over the Packers

Rams +7 1/2 over the 49ers

Buccaneers +7 over the Broncos

The Eagles are terrible, yes, but the Cowboys simply shouldn't be double-digit favorites against anyone this season. We'll hope to capitalize on a line driven by the mass hysteria surrounding Philly (which has taken away from the usual mass hysteria surrounding another losing season in Dallas).

The Packers don't make a much stronger case for being a high favorite against a strong division opponent. We think they'll respond with a win after last Sunday night's collapse, but 9? Hm.

The Rams are great value as a home dog this week. These two teams just tied a few weeks ago and are more evenly matched in the trenches than you might think. And this Kaepernick thing has to come back to bite the Niners at some point, doesn't it? Going against us: Colin Cowherd, in his ridiculously hot Blazing 5 (a must listen for gamblers at this point), stated that "if you played only one game this week, make it the 49ers." He's predicting a blowout in St. Louis. Here's hoping this is the one game he's been getting wrong each week.

The Bucs are just too good of a team to be getting a touchdown, regardless of how sharp the Broncos have been.

Leaned Cincy in San Diego but couldn't quite pull the trigger on the Bengals as a road favorite. The Chargers are a mess, but we don't fully trust the Bengals either.

It's possible we add a pick Monday, but still on the fence there as well. Otherwise, these are your Blazing 4 this week.